LOCKED Can the US Dodge the Macro Bullet?

  • The pivot from Trump 1.0 has reduced the immediate growth threat to the economy.
  • Add in benign inflation, and it is arguable that the US faces a Goldilocks outcome
  • But it is premature to make this call, especially as the labour market remains tight
  • Thus rate cuts are playing with fire and support a structural bearish view on US assets

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