
LOCKED MacroCapture: Research Dossier – August 2025
Jay Powell’s recent Jackson Hole speech was taken as signalling a September rate cut, as the focus of the monetary authorities shifts from inflation risks towards employment risks. Naturally, markets ran with that without considering the medium-term macroeconomic implications, but is the situation as bullish for risk assets as the initial knee-jerk? Is inflation truly dead, and was Powell’s shift tactical or strategic?

