LOCKED Japan Special Report: Lower House Election Outlook: LDP Likely to Lose Majority

All Voter Polls Show the LDP is Likely to Lose its Majority
LDP Must Expand the Coalition to Rule, but CDP has No Path to Power
Prime Minister Ishiba Will Likely be Forced to Resign Even if LDP Retains Power
LDP Civil War Looming
A CDP-led Coalition Remains a Possibility
Election Outcome Could Influence Monetary Policy
Most Outcomes Mean Strong USDJPY, Strong Nikkei, Weak JGBs

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