November 17, 2025

LOCKED MI2 Chart Point: SFRH7 and Blue Owl

As you know, we believe the odds of achieving the perfect soft-landing are low, with the most likely outcome a recession, or if we can make it to early summer without an exogenous shock, a reacceleration of inflation, and with the deciding factor the labour market (“Will SMEs Determine the Direction of the US Economy” 12th Nov).

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LOCKED Japan Update: Takaichi Prioritizes Tax Cuts to Spur Growth

  • Takaichi Prioritizes Tax Cuts to Spur Growth
  • China Discourages Citizens from Traveling to Japan as Dispute Flares
  • Katayama Hints at Larger Than Expected Supplementary Budget
  • Takaichi to Meet with BoJ Governor Ueda Tuesday
  • JGBs Sold as Takaichi’s Fiscal Program Advances
  • July-September Real GDP Declines 1.8%
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