November 14, 2024

LOCKED MacroCapture: Research Dossier – Post-Election Roadmap

Welcome to Macro Capture. We are excited to launch this new product with its singular focus on macro because, as discussed in our promotional videos, we have not seen such an exciting yet challenging macro backdrop in years. The opportunities are immense, but frankly, so are the risks. So strap in!

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November 14, 2024

LOCKED Bonds: Flirting with 1966-67

  • Historically, most tightening cycles end in recessions as the labour market falters

  • One exception was 1966-67, when premature Fed easing triggered a price reacceleration

  • Between a dovish Fed and a Trump-induced surge in animal spirits that risk is rising again

  • From Treasuries to Gilts and JGBs, the technical backdrop in fixed income is vulnerable

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November 14, 2024

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